#Cases

I'm getting asked more about the 'k' parameter that describes variation in the reproduction number, R (i.e. describes superspreading). But what does this parameter actually mean? A short statistical thread...
Read more
Today I’m announcing efforts to slow the spread of #COVID19 as cases reach critical levels.They include a recommitment to school safety, protections for businesses and employees, reduced gatherings, enforcement for
Read more
Batman is an even better example. He uses stealth and misdirection to *appear* superhuman to his enemies.https://twitter.com/tomhyde_/status/1103652482855649280 In both cases it’s a matter of explanation. They appear supernatural because they
Read more
1/ I began to see a spike in hateful liberals, deranged emails and DMs this evening, and now I know why: @nytimes right on time fanning the flames of fear
Read more
Besanko J’s recent decision in Burgess v Cth [2020] FCA 670 is a landmark in the intersection of migration and tort law. But in this thread I want to discuss
Read more
if UNCW doesn’t shut down in-person classes this week they will have more coronavirus cases than they did students, when they opened in 1947.https://twitter.com/uncwilmington/status/1301585829148712961 updating this thread (revised to inc
Read more
Hawaii, opening up to tourism with testing may not be the best idea.Islands like Aruba, French Polynesia, and Iceland had seen terrific control of COVID until tourists, fully tested tourists,
Read more
Geoffrey Berman was not permitted by DOJ to talk about why he was fired. But he managed to sneak it in. https://judiciary.house.gov/uploadedfiles/berman_transcript.pdf Berman was willing to go if Clayton went
Read more
I am not planning to scare you, but in these times, we need abundant caution, because so much morons are around prescribing cow piss, sun rays, placebo medicines and clapping
Read more
A little story from my experience this weekend, that could possibly help you, or a friend. On Saturday night, I faced an attempted hi-jacking, it’s something that we hope never to
Read more
After seeing the NCDC report this evening, I admit that those figures are being manipulated, unless we want to fool ourselves; having zero cases in Lagos is quite impossible, from
Read more
Seen distributed on Facebook and Reddit at a minimum. A thread:January 22: “We have it totally under control. It’s one person coming in from China. It’s going to be just
Read more
Is the reproduction number currently 0.7, or 0.85, or 0.641? Was it bigger yesterday than today? A thread on real-time estimation and false precision... 1/ Most real-time estimation of R
Read more
I’m sorry but the criteria to get a test is BS. Let’s discuss:1) Anyone with a travel history outside Nigeria, who presents with a fever, cough or breathing difficulties within
Read more
I'm having a data day, to counter the Graphs of Mass Destruction. Let's have some balance. This is a useful collection of charts that offer a wider perspective.https://swprs.org/covid-the-big-picture-in-7-charts/ Talking of
Read more
The official number of deaths from Covid-19 has passed one million people worldwide https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-54336494Despite that huge number, we still don’t know enough about the virus. Here’s are some of
Read more