I& #39;m sure most of you have seen that NYTimes article about how the U.S. probably won& #39;t reach herd immunity, and so I did some ~digging bc the NYT loves to clickbait anxious people and then put articles behind paywalls.
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overwhelmingly, what I& #39;m seeing are scientists decrying the idea that herd immunity was ever necessary in the first place. herd immunity is just *one* way to end a pandemic, it& #39;s not the only way.
the most likely way this pandemic will end (as we& #39;re seeing in California, the UK, Israel, etc etc) is through containment.
how do you contain a virus? vaccines "defang" the virus (aka make it so it can& #39;t kill) and lower circulation. low circulation allows for contact tracing.
how do you contain a virus? vaccines "defang" the virus (aka make it so it can& #39;t kill) and lower circulation. low circulation allows for contact tracing.
contact tracing allows for quarantine. quarantine ends transmission among unvaccinated. https://www.wsj.com/articles/herd-immunity-wont-save-usbut-we-can-still-beat-covid-19-11616770584">https://www.wsj.com/articles/...
based on what we& #39;re seeing in Israel, the UK, and California, some scientists estimate that containment starts when around ~50% of the adult population has their first dose. death averages decline into the single digits and hospitalizations drop steadily. https://inews.co.uk/news/uk-covid-pandemic-over-endemic-difference-vaccine-coronavirus-oxford-professor-969538">https://inews.co.uk/news/uk-c...
seeing similar happen in California, especially major cities like LA and San Francisco. https://www.laweekly.com/l-a-county-recorded-zero-covid-19-deaths-sunday/">https://www.laweekly.com/l-a-count...
and we& #39;re seeing this happen in Minnesota right now!! about 59% of the adult population has had their first shot. 3 deaths recorded unty has yesterday. Mayo clinic estimates a 25% decline in hospitalizations in the next two weeks. https://m.startribune.com/minnesota-covid-19-hospitalizations-drop-below-600/600053038/">https://m.startribune.com/minnesota...
keep in mind that all of this is happening DESPITE variants circulating. why? because not a single current variant is resistant to the vaccines. the ones that challenge vaccine efficacy still aren& #39;t vaccine resistant or evasive. don& #39;t believe the clickbait!
and I say adult population bc all of the results we& #39;re seeing are without any vaccinations of children! Pfizer is on track to have authorization to vaccinate 12+ year olds in the next couple weeks... imagine how case numbers are gonna plummet then.
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so now is not the time to panic y& #39;all. everything is still on track for containment. take a breath!
(a few typos bc I& #39;m sipping wine lol my bad!!)
I didn& #39;t expect this response, I just make these threads to help my anxious friends know what& #39;s going on
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FOLLOW SCIENTISTS AND EXPERTS:
@MonicaGandhi9
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skip the NYT articles please. there& #39;s also great scientists on IG!
FOLLOW SCIENTISTS AND EXPERTS:
@MonicaGandhi9
@sailorrooscout
@KizzyPhD
@TracyBethHoeg
@VPrasadMDMPH
skip the NYT articles please. there& #39;s also great scientists on IG!
please don& #39;t follow me for covid information!! I only share research like this maybe once a week but otherwise I mostly talk about dismantling the prison industrial complex, my bookstore, my life, pop culture, anime, and memes ok I rarely use punctuation normally so pls don& #39;t
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