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Looking at today& #39;s COVID numbers, the US 7-day average for daily deaths was 729 yesterday.
The low 7-day average between the 2nd & 3rd COVID surge was 697, according to Google. We hit that on 10/6/20 & 10/16/20.
It& #39;s *possible* we could break below that level soon, even today.
The low 7-day average between the 2nd & 3rd COVID surge was 697, according to Google. We hit that on 10/6/20 & 10/16/20.
It& #39;s *possible* we could break below that level soon, even today.
The significance of breaking below the low 7-day average of daily deaths from between the 2nd & 3rd US COVID surge is that we would, for the first time since the pandemic began, actually be on a downward trend, from a peak-trough analysis perspective.
Positive news.
Positive news.
As far as I can tell -- and again, this is just from eyeballing Google& #39;s numbers -- the low point for the 7-day average of daily COVID deaths between the 1st and 2nd US surge was 547, which we hit on July 7, 2020.
If we can sustain a sub-700 average, sub-550 may not be far off.
If we can sustain a sub-700 average, sub-550 may not be far off.
Again, the significance of hitting these numbers is that, in the US, we& #39;ve never had a point, between the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd COVID surges, where the daily death 7-day average ever broke below previous resistance levels.
But that looks like it *could* happen now.
Good trend news.
But that looks like it *could* happen now.
Good trend news.
Of course, 700 deaths per day from COVID -- which people *can* prevent by taking precautions -- is unacceptable. So is 550 deaths per day.
And there are a lot of fundamental variables that, even if we broke below technical trends, could still put us right back in a bad place.
And there are a lot of fundamental variables that, even if we broke below technical trends, could still put us right back in a bad place.
