I don& #39;t understand why everyone seems to be surprised by this, this is what we& #39;ve always been expecting. There will be an exit wave, but it will very probably be smaller, and definitely much less deadly. That& #39;s the accepted plan. https://twitter.com/BBCPolitics/status/1381919420101066752">https://twitter.com/BBCPoliti...

And we won& #39;t hit the magic 75-85% needed for actual collective immunity for a long time yet. Aside from anything else, like 20% of the population is below 18. So collective immunity is going to be borderline really until we& #39;ve got until the end of all adults.

V good thread on the challenges of cohort immunity here, btw, which we are playing right into. For good, sensible, life-saving reasons, but our approach is unideal from a pure transmission cutting approach. https://twitter.com/Dr_D_Robertson/status/1381639788017680393">https://twitter.com/Dr_D_Robe...

Anyway, all that doesn& #39;t massively matter in the round, because the main thing vaccinations do at this point is drastically cut down deaths and hospitalisations, and that& #39;s very good, and means any exit wave will be much, much less deadly than any previous wave.