Danny Ings https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿" title="Flagge von England" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von England"> vs Jimenez https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇲🇽" title="Flagge von Mexiko" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Mexiko">

Both these forwards had strong 2019/20 campaigns. As a result both have been priced at 8.5m.

Below is a thread https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🧵" title="Thread" aria-label="Emoji: Thread"> looking at key stats that should help you to chose between the pair.

Thanks for the support. Enjoy! #FPL https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👍" title="Thumbs up" aria-label="Emoji: Thumbs up">

Some key stats from @FFH_HQ
(Drop me a DM for 25% off)

Points per appearance GW1-38
Ings https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿" title="Flagge von England" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von England"> = 5.21
Jimenez https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇲🇽" title="Flagge von Mexiko" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Mexiko"> = 5.11

Appearances GW1-38
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿" title="Flagge von England" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von England"> = 32 starts - 6 subs
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇲🇽" title="Flagge von Mexiko" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Mexiko"> = 37 starts - 1 sub

Points per appearance GW30-38
Ings https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿" title="Flagge von England" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von England"> = 6.44
Jimenez https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇲🇽" title="Flagge von Mexiko" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Mexiko"> = 5.22

Both started all 9 games

Expected Points per app GW1-38
Ings https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿" title="Flagge von England" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von England"> = 4.5
Jimenez https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇲🇽" title="Flagge von Mexiko" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Mexiko"> = 5.2

Expected Points per app GW30-38
Ings https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿" title="Flagge von England" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von England"> = 5.1
Jimenez https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇲🇽" title="Flagge von Mexiko" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Mexiko"> = 4.1

Ings has consistently outperformed his expected stats. However, given the eye test this is expected. He takes on and scored shots most ST won’t.

One statistic I look at a lot is Goal Involvement.

This is the percentage of goals their team scored that are involved in when on the pitch.

GW1-38
Ings https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿" title="Flagge von England" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von England"> = 47%
Jimenez https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇲🇽" title="Flagge von Mexiko" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Mexiko"> = 47%

GW30-38
Ings https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿" title="Flagge von England" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von England"> = 50%
Jimenez https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇲🇽" title="Flagge von Mexiko" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Mexiko"> = 50%

This just shows it’s so hard to chose between them.

If we consider the fixtures of the two teams.

Southampton https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿" title="Flagge von England" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von England"> = average difficulty of 2.5 rating

Wolves https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇲🇽" title="Flagge von Mexiko" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Mexiko"> = 2.75 average fixture difficulty rating

Very little to split the two sides in terms of fixtures. Both have a high potential for returns.

The final thing worth noting is consistency.

2019/20 points per appearance
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿" title="Flagge von England" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von England"> = 5.21 from 38 apps.
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇲🇽" title="Flagge von Mexiko" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Mexiko"> = 5.11 from 38 apps.

2018/19 points per appearance
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿" title="Flagge von England" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von England"> = 3.75 from 24 apps.
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇲🇽" title="Flagge von Mexiko" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Mexiko"> = 4.76 from 38 apps.

Jimenez has been more consistent than Ings with a stronger 218/19 season.

Overall Jimenez is the safer option here
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔘" title="Optionsfeld" aria-label="Emoji: Optionsfeld"> He returns equal with his xG
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔘" title="Optionsfeld" aria-label="Emoji: Optionsfeld"> He has returned strongly for two seasons now.

However Ings has a higher ceiling
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔘" title="Optionsfeld" aria-label="Emoji: Optionsfeld"> Outperforms xG and scored chances he shouldn’t
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔘" title="Optionsfeld" aria-label="Emoji: Optionsfeld"> Stronger opening few fixtures

From what I’ve seen above it depends on team structure and how much of a risk you want to take.

The big question is whether Ings numbers are sustainable.

Looking at it I predict some regression but a strong season for Ings

If I had to chose between the two I’d go Danny Ings https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿" title="Flagge von England" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von England">