Portugal https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇵🇹" title="Flagge von Portugal" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Portugal"> reports 390 new cases in the last 24 hours.

A fairly large increase from yesterday.

7-day case rate per 100,000 remains above threshold of 20.

Hard for the government to defy its own guidance, so likely to be added to the UK https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> quarantine list.

My thread https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">
We have more information with regard to how the UK government
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> determines whether a nation is “high risk” and should be subject to quarantine measures.

Of course, the threshold of 20 cases per 100,000 people over 7-days cumulatively still applies.

More on this here…

/2 https://twitter.com/benkersben/status/1297961579888226304">https://twitter.com/benkersbe...
After today’s increase in cases, Portugal’s https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇵🇹" title="Flagge von Portugal" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Portugal"> 7-day cumulative case rate per 100,000 people is 22.9.

This does mean Portugal https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇵🇹" title="Flagge von Portugal" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Portugal"> remains above the UK government’s https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> threshold of 20.

/3
After today’s increase in cases, Portugal’s https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable= 7-day cumulative case rate per 100,000 people is 22.9.This does mean Portugal https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇵🇹" title="Flagge von Portugal" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Portugal"> remains above the UK government’s https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> threshold of 20./3" title="After today’s increase in cases, Portugal’s https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇵🇹" title="Flagge von Portugal" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Portugal"> 7-day cumulative case rate per 100,000 people is 22.9.This does mean Portugal https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇵🇹" title="Flagge von Portugal" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Portugal"> remains above the UK government’s https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> threshold of 20./3" class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>
Portugal https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇵🇹" title="Flagge von Portugal" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Portugal"> was only added to the UK government’s https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> “safe list” of countries 11 days ago.

An announcement tomorrow that Portugal https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇵🇹" title="Flagge von Portugal" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Portugal"> is returning to the UK’s https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> quarantine list will cause disruption for thousands of Brits with travel plans.

/4
As seen in previous weeks, the UK government https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> adds countries to its quarantine list once the 7-day cumulative case rate per 100,000 people surpasses 20.

Sadly, Portugal’s https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇵🇹" title="Flagge von Portugal" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Portugal"> 7-day case rate per 100,000 people has remained above 20 for 4 days consecutively.

/5
Czech Republic https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇨🇿" title="Flagge der Tschechischen Republik" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge der Tschechischen Republik"> was added to the UK https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> quarantine list despite only being slightly above the 20 threshold at 20.1…

… giving the impression that UK government https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> follows this rule by the book!

/6
Yesterday we saw Nicola Sturgeon take a surprisingly tough-line on Greece https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇷" title="Flagge von Griechenland" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Griechenland">.

With the 7-day cumulative case rate per 100,000 people above 20, I’d be very surprised if Portugal https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇵🇹" title="Flagge von Portugal" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Portugal"> wasn’t re-added to Scotland’s quarantine list at the very minimum.

/7
The reason Portugal https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇵🇹" title="Flagge von Portugal" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Portugal"> wasn’t added to Scotland’s quarantine list yesterday was likely because Sturgeon’s government saw an increased number of passengers returning from Greece https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇷" title="Flagge von Griechenland" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Griechenland"> with COVID-19.

More on that in my thread here https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">

/8 https://twitter.com/benkersben/status/1300893069563301896">https://twitter.com/benkersbe...
If the UK gov https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> were to not add Portugal https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇵🇹" title="Flagge von Portugal" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Portugal">, this would go against their own guidance.

As mentioned in the second tweet of this thread, Grant Shapps mentions any country where the 7-day case rate per 100,000 people surpasses 20 risks removal from the UK’s https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> “safe list”.

/9
Therefore, I’d be surprised if Portugal https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇵🇹" title="Flagge von Portugal" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Portugal"> wasn’t added to all UK https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> quarantine lists in tomorrow’s review.

/10
The only small reason Portugal https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇵🇹" title="Flagge von Portugal" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Portugal"> *may* not be re-added to the UK https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> quarantine list is due to it being removed so recently.

But as aforementioned, this would defy guidelines and cause confusion for other nations near and above the threshold, e.g. The Netherlands!

/10
I simply feel this is unlikely to happen.

Particularly with pressure from Wales and Scotland.

/11
As usual, more to come as the situation develops!

But right now, Portugal https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇵🇹" title="Flagge von Portugal" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Portugal"> could be in a better position.

Being above the threshold of 20 is not ideal…

Thanks! https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇵🇹" title="Flagge von Portugal" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Portugal">https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches">

/12
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