Turkey https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇹🇷" title="Flagge der Türkei" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge der Türkei"> reports 1217 new cases in the last 24 hours.

A decrease from yesterday where 1309 cases were reported.

However, as explored later, less testing today due to a smaller capacity on weekends.

Nevertheless, in a good position for the UK https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> quarantine review!

My threadhttps://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">

On August 14th, Grant Shapps mentioned any nation surpassing 20 cases per 100,000 people over 7-days cumulatively would spark concern for the UK government https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches">

More on that herehttps://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">

/2 https://twitter.com/benkersben/status/1295348667424145410">https://twitter.com/benkersbe...

Including today’s cases, Turkey’s https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇹🇷" title="Flagge der Türkei" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge der Türkei"> 7-day case rate per 100,000 people is 10.9.

There has been no change in this figure from yesterday...

... and it’s still far-below the UK government https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> threshold of 20.

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However, it’s important to note there was a decline in tests performed.

In the last 24 hours, 80,302 tests were performed.

This is because, like other nations, Turkey https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇹🇷" title="Flagge der Türkei" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge der Türkei"> operates a smaller testing capacity on the weekend.

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This means it’s likely we’ll see an increase in cases next week (as we did last week) as testing returns to full capacity.

Like I’ve said in previous threads, I would think Turkey’s https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇹🇷" title="Flagge der Türkei" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge der Türkei"> number of cases could hover around 1,600 if the target of 100,000 tests a day is achieved.

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Again, this isn’t a problem.

Should we see an average of 1600 cases a day due to increased testing, Turkey’s https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇹🇷" title="Flagge der Türkei" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge der Türkei"> 7-day rate will be around 13.7.

This will still be significantly lower than other nations, and most important of all, below the UK government https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> threshold.

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As of current, things are looking good for Turkey https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇹🇷" title="Flagge der Türkei" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge der Türkei"> in the upcoming UK quarantine https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> list review.

There hasn’t been too much volatility in the number of daily cases (staying around 1200-1400), and subsequently, there hasn’t been much movement in the 7-day case rate.

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Providing this trend keeps up, Turkey https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇹🇷" title="Flagge der Türkei" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge der Türkei"> will continue to be in a good position...

… and it *shouldn’t* be added to the UK https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches"> quarantine list.

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Of course, things can change quickly.

By Tuesday, we’ll have a better idea of what *could* happen in the next review as we’ll have more data to identify trends.

But as aforementioned, things are looking good!

More to come as the situation develops.

Thanks! https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇹🇷" title="Flagge der Türkei" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge der Türkei">https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches">

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