The #DominicCummings saga will accelerate bad decisions:
what& #39;s getting lost in this madness is sound decision-making.
The government is easing the lockdown measures, and will do so *before* a known to be working track, trace and isolate nationwide system is in place.
1/n
what& #39;s getting lost in this madness is sound decision-making.
The government is easing the lockdown measures, and will do so *before* a known to be working track, trace and isolate nationwide system is in place.
1/n
Since the government has always treated the pandemic as a PR problem, it will do so again, and given the circumstances, easing the social distancing measures, too quickly and too far is precisely what they will want to do.
Because it makes Dom& #39;s law-breaking less hurtful.
2/n
Because it makes Dom& #39;s law-breaking less hurtful.
2/n
Meanwhile, we won& #39;t get a functioning track, trace and *isolate* system in place, not in time, not if they insist to have it centralised and delivered by private for-profit companies, and not while the imperative is to appease the grumbling public opinion.
3/n
3/n
Fact is that a track, trace and *isolate* system has to be swift (efficient!), ruthless and painful. While everyone is getting back to normal, at any time, you may receive news that you *have* to stay at home, because a colleague tested positive - right now, no ifs, no buts.
4/n
4/n
The last thing this government can do right now is to find the mindset to actually organise it well and concurrently sell it to the public. So they will *claim* it& #39;s in place, and will either be far too light-touch or a disastrous mix of incompetence and coercion.
5/n
5/n
Meanwhile, social/physical distancing measures will be eased, to placate public opinion.
Predictions:
1. By the end of June, number of daily new infections will be higher than now. There is some hope that warm weather might mitigate this, but I don& #39;t think we can bet on it.
6/n
Predictions:
1. By the end of June, number of daily new infections will be higher than now. There is some hope that warm weather might mitigate this, but I don& #39;t think we can bet on it.
6/n
2. Deaths will start increasing again during July, if not before.
3. The amount of BS spouted by the propaganda machine will skyrocket. If you think that it& #39;s high now, get ready for some fireworks.. You ain& #39;t seen nothing yet.
7/n
3. The amount of BS spouted by the propaganda machine will skyrocket. If you think that it& #39;s high now, get ready for some fireworks.. You ain& #39;t seen nothing yet.
7/n
4. If Cummings goes, Johnson will follow. If it happens, it will be because of a revolt of Tory backbenchers, so it& #39;s unlikely to be soon.
Thus, what& #39;s needed now is to motivate the revolt, urgently.
Which is why I fully support #BOOFORBORIS.
Tomorrow, 8PM. (Spread the word!)
8/n
Thus, what& #39;s needed now is to motivate the revolt, urgently.
Which is why I fully support #BOOFORBORIS.
Tomorrow, 8PM. (Spread the word!)
8/n
It needs to be loud, do bang those pots (you can make more noise and for longer).
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It needs to be understood: talk to your neighbours, do it today.
Yes, you might feel silly and exposed, I will, for sure, but people are dying, if not now, when?
#BooForBoris!
9/9
It needs to be understood: talk to your neighbours, do it today.
Yes, you might feel silly and exposed, I will, for sure, but people are dying, if not now, when?
#BooForBoris!
9/9