NEW: Today& #39;s update of the @FinancialTimes UK death model suggests that by 22 April there have been roughly
43,100
excess deaths linked to coronavirus.
The 2,000 increase from Tuesday reflects:
a) 759 hospital deaths scaled up for community deaths
b) new Scottish data... 1/
43,100
excess deaths linked to coronavirus.
The 2,000 increase from Tuesday reflects:
a) 759 hospital deaths scaled up for community deaths
b) new Scottish data... 1/
The new Scottish data shows more excess deaths than the model had predicted for deaths up to 10 April registered by 13 April. These adjustments are to be expected because we are getting data in all the time and many of the model& #39;s assumptions err on the cautious side.
The free to read article explaining my methods is here https://www.ft.com/content/67e6a4ee-3d05-43bc-ba03-e239799fa6ab
And">https://www.ft.com/content/6... the initial thread from this morning is here
https://twitter.com/ChrisGiles_/status/1252841436317315072
ENDS">https://twitter.com/ChrisGile...
And">https://www.ft.com/content/6... the initial thread from this morning is here
https://twitter.com/ChrisGiles_/status/1252841436317315072
ENDS">https://twitter.com/ChrisGile...