The IHME coronavirus model now & #39;predicts& #39; that peak hospital use in NJ happened on April 8, i.e. 4 days ago. Just one small problem: the data published by the state show that hospital use did not, in fact, peak on that date.

Hospital use *may* have peaked yesterday (April 11) at 7,618 patients. Too soon to be sure. And arguably IHME model was & #39;close enough& #39;. But the prediction it was making in its April 10 update was inconsistent with data that had already been published. Use models with caution!!!

Here is a very nice representation of the New Jersey COVID-19 hospitalization data from @JPVMan: https://twitter.com/JPVMan/status/1249430315245998091?s=20">https://twitter.com/JPVMan/st...