Taking a break from COVID content (I& #39;ve lost my ability to be rational) for a thread on something we can all agree on:

FL is an absolutely bonkers state and its idiosyncrasies make election predictions a minefield

Biden *should* win election then and there but he won& #39;t https://twitter.com/JBSDC/status/1247965698992865286">https://twitter.com/JBSDC/sta...

Nelson & Biden occupy similar spaces: avuncular, lifelong establishment Dems who should dominate FL, especially among retirees

Nelson won in & #39;12 by 13 points

Rick Scott ran a company that defrauded Medicare to the tune of $1.7B

...this should have been a breeze for Nelson

"Oh wow. I guess FL Dems need to run more young progressives"

Welp, Gillum lost to a republican who ran an ad of his son using lego blocks to build a border wall

"I guess FL is just a red state now, even down ballot"

If the FLGOP had a lab to grow candidates on Calle Ocho it couldn& #39;t have made & #39;em better than Carlos Curbello and Maria Salazar

Salazar was a beautiful, young Latina who was a fixture in south florida news

She lost to a woman w/ a metric ton of baggage from her Clinton years, widely hated for her tenure at UM & DOES NOT SPEAK SPANISH

@SenhorRaposa jokes about Shalala but it& #39;s absolutely insane she won

This is not about Cubans (the gen that cares about Castro is almost all dead) nor is it about Venezuelans (who are not as reliably R)

The *culture* of FL, from proudly hillbilly Panahndle to gilded Brickle, is nothing if not divorced entirely from the Amtrak corridor

National Ds speak the language of burgeoning suburbs but that just doesn& #39;t resonate in Sunshine State

GOP has a devil of a time balancing Trump in Chester PA & Racine WI but in Pinellas & Seminole FL, they do just enough

And just enough will beat Biden. In FL at least...