I hate this line of thinking (AnYtHiNg CaN HaPpEn NoW BeCaUsE TrUmP! 2016! 2020!) https://twitter.com/julianzelizer/status/1245729822694875136">https://twitter.com/julianzel...

Here& #39;s how Andrew Cuomo could be nominated. Joe Biden drops out. That *could* happen. He could get sick. There could be some huge scandal. If Democrats need a last-minute replacement for Biden, then Cuomo might be the choice you& #39;d bet on. Short of that though, very very unlikely.

The delegates are technically free agents (even on the first ballot, *pledged* delegates aren& #39;t legally *bound*) but the delegates they are *chosen by the candidates* so you can expect loyalty. The Biden delegates are gonna want Biden unless Biden doesn& #39;t want the nomination.

Meanwhile, actual Democratic voters are drifting *more* toward Biden as the coronavirus crisis unfolds. The behavior of real people is completely divorced from the narrative on here, a lesson folks probably already ought to have learned re: Biden. https://twitter.com/EchelonInsights/status/1245724011725807618">https://twitter.com/EchelonIn...