#Predictions

allianceinitiative

AllianceInit

Since it looks like there may be another Israel-Arab peace deal this week, let's revisit some predictions asserting the impossibility of such deals due to Trump admin foreign policy on

Jeff Horwitz

JeffHorwitz

A top FB policy exec openly detailed her efforts to hep a favored political party win and her disdain for its opponents. FB didn’t stop her — and never spoke

Johnny Rich

JohnnySRich

The Govt's whole schtick was that students wouldn't be allowed to appeal, only schools, and even then only on the grounds that the algorithm had disadvantaged the whole school, not

Andrew Fish

Fish58320

I'm gonna take this premise and make a few predictions/commentary on DG's future.https://twitter.com/hannahemcbeth/status/1252473578597089280 1. Yes, I think there will be a decrease in the number of full-time touring players. Savings

G. Elliott Morris

gelliottmorris

I've gotten a lot of questions about our model's projection in Arizona today (probably because of the NYT poll). People think it should be bluer. Maybe! Our model has it

Dr Jess Wade 👩🏻‍🔬

jesswade

a lot of young people in the UK have had their dreams crushed by an incompetent government and an (150 page) unpublished algorithm. we have got to stop unfair tech

Michael Keenan

michaelkeenan_0

This great 2007 essay on hindsight bias is relevant when blaming people for not predicting the pandemic. With hindsight, we lay out the salient facts and it seems so clear.

Robert Seidel Jr.

RSeidel_NBCT

#APUSH220 I am currently rereading the Personal Memoirs of U.S. Grant and I want to share a few excerpts in which Grant offers his perspective on several important topics: 1/?

Sam Epstein 🍌🦠🧑‍🔬🗳🐱🌈

sam_epstein

Re: on Treating Statewide Elections as Independent EventsHi everyone! It is clear that clarifications are needed behind the meaning of our 99.5% chance of Biden winning the election. It

skyeangelo

jon_asskahnwald

dark predictions for s3 a thread of my clownery since we’re picking up exactly where we left, we will see two versions AU Martha - the one on the

James Wang

jwangARK

1/ How James Cameron’s Terminator 2 predicted modern AI chips and sparked the debate on AI safety. An appreciation thread. 2/ This is the chip that powers the T-800. Based

What The Trans!?

WhatTheTrans

If Truss implements a rollback on trans rights via discriminatory guidance, equality act amendments or new legislation that attempts to block trans people's participation in public life, I (Michelle, speaking

Mr.🃏

JokerNvests

Recognize And React, I’ll retweet this same tweet ina week or two, and explain my thought process. In the meanwhile you should come up with your OWN thesis.https://twitter.com/stoolpresidente/status/1298259773142364162 Tomorrow

Covid19MC

covid19mc

1/ We have updated our model and have predictions for Ontario’s second wave from the COVID-19-Modeling Collaborative. #onpoli #COVID19 2/ We considered 4 potential second wave epidemic curves, from best

Katelyn Stenger

KatelynStenger

An imperfect thread on some intersections of #BehavioralScience + #ComplexSystems@DavidPerrott_ @g_arteagoitia Some ppl recognize behavioral science is in its adolescents in a lot ways. While behavioral scientists have identified design

the notorious D.O.G. 😷🇺🇲

DogOfPoasts

I'm late to the party on this, but the IHME model is apparently just trend extrapolation, and relatively crude 70-year-old laurel-resting full prof trend extrapolation at that https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/03/29/the-second-derivativ