#Uncertainty

G. Elliott Morris

gelliottmorris

10% chance of a trifecta? color me skeptical, very skeptical The one huge thing I learned from modeling this year is that it is a mistake to model uncertainty as

Rachel "The Doc" Bitecofer 📈🔭🍌

RachelBitecofer

Hotdog! Who's ready for the Sept Forecast Update. Y'all are gonna love it, bc it introduces a revised & better model created by @sam_epstein which expands on my OG vision:

Stephanie Tait

StephTaitWrites

I wrote something for Holy Saturday in 2017 that seemed really appropriate to share again. Holy Saturday feels much more intense this year, and yet many people seem all the

Geo_monitor

colonelhomsi

Global Times: Washington cannot repeat victory in a new Cold War.. As China and Russia step up their overall strategic coordination with each other and continually deepen their integration with

Dan Larremore

DanLarremore

Sensitivity & specificity affect the inferences that we can draw from seroprevalence studies & inform the number of samples we need for statistical confidence. To help, we built two calculators.

Fabian Neumann

fneum_

Providing just a single least-cost solution underplays an immense degree of freedom when planning future energy systems.There are many near-optimal alternatives with attractive properties like social acceptance due to less

Richards Lab

RichardsLabUoB

Day 2 of the #AutisticaFestival with fantastic panel discussions this morning on 'Quality of life, stress and wellbeing' and this afternoon on 'Mental Health and co-occurring conditions' Some of the

Joel MacManus

JoelMacManus

Thread: There's lots of good policy in National’s transport plan for Wellington, but there's also a lot of re-hashing old rejected ideas from Let’s Get Wellington Moving, most of which

Sara • سـاره

shnaynaay

Post graduation depression and how to deal with it. A thread. 1. I want to shed a light on something I find very important and not much talked about. Post

Doris OQuinn

doris_oquinn

@stevenmnuchin1 @stevenmnuchin1 please I am asking for a reply as I have not seen this question come up: We are eligible for the stimulus check as a married couple and

Kit Yates

Kit_Yates_Maths

If I’d been wrong as often as most of this lot, I’d probably keep my head down.“...SARS-Cov-2 virus in the UK has become demonstrably less fatal than seasonal influenza viruses.”https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9507449/Scien

DJJordanVA

DJJordanVA

Although it’s meant to be a political attack on Amy Coney Barrett, the shaming of white multiracial adoptive parents is hypocritical and actually damaging for vulnerable children. (1/5) #1 Science

Michael Hattem

MichaelHattem

I’m going to share some vague similarities I’ve been noticing between our current moment and the 1760s/1770s. During the imperial crisis, Parliament passed unprecedented legislation aimed at greater control of

destroy all leaf blowers

LarkBrains

i said i was gonna log off twitter because it was just fucking with my mood atm and, as usual, continued to scroll for a little bit instead.and ended up

Chris Harte Unstuck

charte

If I were a #Year12 student in Australia, I would be spending some of my iso time putting together a portfolio of work I have done that I am proud

Saint Nic

Elle_Nic_Woods

Little moments. Sometimes our days or weeks are filled with big moments that cloud our little moments. Well, work and construction stress and toxic people can step aside...I'm filling my