#Risk

As a genetic epidemiologist who has helped develop polygenic risk scores (PRS) for common, multifactoral diseases, I have... thoughts on the launch of a company to provide pre-pregnancy counseling &
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Tate, you are wrong. You assume you are finding every “case.” You aren’t... not even close. You are discounting T-cell immunity and mucosal IgA antibodies which you cannot easily test
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Two of these scientists, @SunetraGupta and @MartinKulldorff, have long been my friends. But I think they are dead wrong without a demonstrated plan for how such shielding would work. There
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Why I think the public service needs a values frame to make policy discussion is this: there is already a values frame in use, it is the water we swim
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It is remarkable that you have idiots like this "Prof" @BallouxFrancois who conflate additive risks with multiplicative ones (fat tailed), a mistake your grandmother wouldn't make.https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/129
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1/ I’ve thought a bit about why the media blue-checks hate me so (and, let’s be honest, they do hate me so). I’m nobody, really; I don’t have a primetime
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Someone sent me a video of an investigative nurse on the frontlines, asking about the validity of the footage. In the video the MD is heard arguing with the dayshift
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The toll on healthcare worker's mental health may be one of the least told stories of covid-19.A thread.1/11 We hear a lot about the death tolls, but what is really
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The single most important thing to understand is that the world was effectively converted into a command economy six months ago. Free movement is not compatible with any planned economy
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Indulge me - here’s a long thread on something that keeps me optimistic. It’s the story of my favourite landscape image. Also involves environmental restoration, family, partnership working, bogs, skylarks
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So it turns out our whole "economy", our complex ecosystems of organised work, are a really fragile house of cards that relies on people being 'free' to work while their
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Two preprints recently make an important point: for any infection, including COVID-19, it is possible that herd immunity can be accomplished with more than 1/R0 of the population still susceptible.
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We could have been ready for #COVID19. That’s what makes me so angry about this Government’s mishandling of this pandemic....1/ In late 2016, I took part in a government exercise
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Areo has now received quite a few submissions arguing that a solution to the current polarisation is a political stance that is economically left but socially conservative. This seems to
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YENA HUBADERA NG TAON: a very dangerous thread.watch at your own risk 33rd Golden Disk AwardsMirotic by TVXQ (cover) KCON LA 2019 (part 1)Violeta by IZ*ONE KCON LA 2019 (part
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[Thread] Last night the Chief Medical Officer finally said #covid19 is spread “indoors in poor ventilation” This is HUGELY SIGNIFICANT, & here’s why.. 1/ #covid19 ..Ireland’s public health message is
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