#Infections

Thread on goal shifting. Yesterday, @CT_Bergstrom discussed unfair treatment of modelers at Illinois (read it). I agree that the modelers took more than their share of blame, but that's an
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There are a lot of well-intended and well-written critiques of the Santa Clara Co. serology study but at some point it's not that complicated. A test that *could* have a
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Tomasz Ahrends and coworkers report that "Enteric pathogens induce tissue tolerance and prevent neuronal loss from subsequent infections". A visual inspired by politics with a graphical anstract at the end.https://www.biorxiv.org/
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CW: animal mutilation. Cropping a dogs ears for aesthetic is inhumane. I will adress this here because it is a huge point of contention on my Instagram post. There ARE
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1) They got it wrong and now they’re largely tracking it wrong. I say they, because I predicted this early on, and it only gets worse. Did you know the
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Why is Ireland locking down again? Look no further than our Covid-19 spreadsheet modellers.They are unshakeable in the belief that Covid-19 remains a deadly threat to the population. But as
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UAMS model recap posted. I'll try to hit the highlights here. First, I really encourage you to watch the video and read the report summary yourself. I can't say it
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We're all locked down - now what?Not just here but in every country? All the arm chair experts can't tell me what they would do.1/ They point to the Far
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In New York City right now, the number of new infections per day is still about 4x what it was last summer. The number of daily deaths in NY is
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Thoughts on seroprevalence in NYC. I'm not at all surprised by an estimate of 21% seropositive in NYC as discussed by @NYGovCuomo today (https://twitter.com/NYGovCuomo/status/1253353516803993600). 1/6 I had previously been estimating
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IMPORTANT Starbucks outbreak in South Korea reveals a lot: A #COVID19 infected 30 year old visited Starbucks for 2 hours then infected 56 others who visited. Likely related to
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Manafort released. But Yusef still locked up. He's served 25 years. Been in since he was 16. He's 41 now. Should have been resentenced 5 years ago. Lost 4 friends
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of passing the virus to others if you are undetectable on antiretroviral therapy because I marveled CDC (a traditionally conservative public health agency, understandably; they are messaging for nation) would
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This study showed that Covid-19 occurred in children, causing moderate-to-severe respiratory illness, in the early phase of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in Wuhan and was associated with ICU admission in one
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The sudden jump in new cases is simply b'cos testing was ramped to 15K. It confirms what I have always assumed. Despite the drop in detected cases, daily infections have
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Tonight, I will provide two simple models based on research I’ve previously tweeted about for NYC. Assumption #1 the median days since infection to death is approximately 23 days; assumption
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