“Turkey has always done its own thing: “rejection of subjugation to the West has long been the bedrock of Turkish politics, whether its leadership was religious or secular, leftist or rightwing.” https://twitter.com/marcpierini1/status/1354502468760174596
“
launched a brisk charm offensive with the EU and the new
president. A case in point was Erdoğan’s speech on 22.11.2020, in which he said, “We see ourselves as an inseparable part of
. We have always been the strongest member of Western Alliances, NATO in particular.”
launched a brisk charm offensive with the EU and the new
president. A case in point was Erdoğan’s speech on 22.11.2020, in which he said, “We see ourselves as an inseparable part of
. We have always been the strongest member of Western Alliances, NATO in particular.”
“
leadership is prone to repeatedly adjusting its foreign policy narratives to suit domestic political requirements. This creates massive foreign policy uncertainty for Ankara’s
and
partners because
simultaneously plays friend and foe or acts both with and against NATO.”
leadership is prone to repeatedly adjusting its foreign policy narratives to suit domestic political requirements. This creates massive foreign policy uncertainty for Ankara’s
and
partners because
simultaneously plays friend and foe or acts both with and against NATO.”
“On the political side, Turkey’s partners will have to assess the strategic risk of a leadership that routinely uses anti-Western, conspiracy-based, nationalist narratives while ignoring several of its international commitments.”
“In this context, the continued development of
military industry under current programs is not necessarily perceived as an asset for NATO. Due to the constant bargaining between
&
multiple fronts,
behavior in case of potential tensions between
& NATO in, say the Baltics
military industry under current programs is not necessarily perceived as an asset for NATO. Due to the constant bargaining between
&
multiple fronts,
behavior in case of potential tensions between
& NATO in, say the Baltics
or the
Sea has inevitably become a factor of uncertainty.
recent proclamations of its strong bonds with NATO are not enough to dispel this uncertainty, especially in circumstances in which
can impose political & economic constraints or inflict military damage on

&
should send coordinated signals that disruptive unilateral decisions and hostile narratives are no longer tolerated. This would at least avoid Ankara playing its allies off against one another.”

and
should devise measures to minimize the adverse impact of
deployment of non-NATO assets & avoid degradation of the alliances strength vis-à-vis 
Such measures could at best include the complete removal of the S400 missiles, otherwise, contingency procedures in NATO.
Atlantic partners should limit exports of military components to
if
disruptive policies remain unchanged, its relations with
are not clarify & 
calls for
go unheeded. Such a move would clarify that critical 
supplies can’t be used to increase sec risks for allies
EU and the United States should sanction the Turkish individuals most involved in dismantling the rule of law and interfering with the domestic politics of Western countries. This would be consistent with Turkey’s commitments under the NATO and Council of Europe charters.

should delay the introduction of a new cooperation framework until
makes a measurable return to a rule-of-law status that corresponds to
commitments as a member of the EUCO and a partner of the 
Preparatory work should take into account the newly signed


Trade and Cooperation Agreement, which is now the most advanced treaty between the
and a third country.
should also opt out of the idea of an EastMed conference, which would give
de facto recognition of
occupied Northern

should maintain tangible offers of negotiation on maritime boundaries and of support for
refugees at the 
border and in
Offers, should come with precise time frames and methodologies, would demonstrate that mutually beneficial
is possible when
behavior subsides.
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