Conclusion
Female and OBC voters have become core vote bank of BJP in North India (Especially in Hindi heartland) till INC doesn't a considerable OBC votes , it would be very difficult for them to get significant seats from Hindi Heartland (not including up here)
Inc should come up with a good Manifesto (And should campaign about it aggressively obviously) to attract Female voters . High inflation during UPA 2 made them switch sides to BJP .
INC is considerably more popular among the 35-60 age group where BJP and INC had considerable
INC is considerably more popular among the 35-60 age group where BJP and INC had considerable
presence even before 2014 . BJP does have edge over 60+ voters (especially on those states where it had presence even before 2014 , eg. mP , RJ) whereas it gets considerable less votes from 60+ yo voters from the states where it made inroads after 2014 (Eg. Haryana)
INC does obviously lack in Urban areas (which was in 2014 too) because of IAC movement , high inflation and other issues . But I think they would gain a bit in Urban Areas which is also evident from Rajasthan local polls (where inc got considerable good seats in comparison to
rural areas ) (probably because of economic hit on urban class people ) and that's why I think they would gain a bit in Urban areas (but still not enough to win seats)
From this link you can find the post poll findings of your desired state https://www.indiatoday.in/diu/story/how-india-voted-2019-lok-sabha-election-india-today-axis-my-india-poll-1539617-2019-05-31
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