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It’s often hard to see the wood for the trees in FPL
A player’s previous numbers can be deceiving & deflate them as an option
A player could have been afforded an opportunity late in the season, nailed down a spot & done well, but the numbers will only read:
50pts | 900 mins
A player’s previous numbers can be deceiving & deflate them as an option
A player could have been afforded an opportunity late in the season, nailed down a spot & done well, but the numbers will only read:
50pts | 900 mins
So, I’ve taken a look at “what could be” if a player was to play a “full” season
If a player played 90 mins (m) of every game, they would play 3,420m
To make this analysis more realistic, let’s apply a 10% deduction. 3,078m
Player “X” | 87pts | 1800m
87 / 1800 x 3078 = 149pts
If a player played 90 mins (m) of every game, they would play 3,420m
To make this analysis more realistic, let’s apply a 10% deduction. 3,078m
Player “X” | 87pts | 1800m
87 / 1800 x 3078 = 149pts
Of course, this data is to be taken with a pinch of salt, as there are some variables. For example, coming onto the pitch for 10 mins vs. 10 men that are already losing and scoring - which would skew the output
For a greater level of accuracy, I have applied the following model
For a greater level of accuracy, I have applied the following model
For every 9 appearances as a sub 10% is deducted from the overall projected points
Where applicable, the original calculation is still shown, and deducted points model in brackets alongside
* = 10% reduction
** = 20% reduction
Where applicable, the original calculation is still shown, and deducted points model in brackets alongside
* = 10% reduction
** = 20% reduction
Additional key:
nailed
one to watch
possible rotation
potential gem
position swap
‘Project Restart’ form
possible team upgrade
nailed one to watch possible rotation potential gem position swap ‘Project Restart’ form possible team upgrade
Goalkeepers:
*5.5*
Lloris = 167pts
30pts per million spent (pms)
*5.0*
Fabianski = 121pts
24pts pms
Leno = 132pts
26pts pms
*4.5*
Martinez = 132pts
29pts pms
McCarthy = 127pts
28pts pms
*5.5*
Lloris = 167pts
30pts per million spent (pms)
*5.0*
Fabianski = 121pts
24pts pms
Leno = 132pts
26pts pms
*4.5*
Martinez = 132pts
29pts pms
McCarthy = 127pts
28pts pms
Defenders:
*5.5*
Chilwell = 148pts
27pts pms
Gomez = 143pts
26pts pms
Aurier = 141pts
26pts pms
*4.5*
Taylor = 133pts
30pts pms
Lamptey = 129pts
29pts pms
Pieters = 126pts
28pts pms
*5.5*
Chilwell = 148pts
27pts pms
Gomez = 143pts
26pts pms
Aurier = 141pts
26pts pms
*4.5*
Taylor = 133pts
30pts pms
Lamptey = 129pts
29pts pms
Pieters = 126pts
28pts pms
Midfielders:
*8.5*
Mahrez = 279pts (251pts*)
30pts pms
Pulisic = 228pts
27pts pms
*7.5*
Greenwood = 243pts (194pts**)
26pts pms
*6.5*
Bowen = 148pts
23pts pms
Jota = 142pts
22pts pms
*6.0*
Trossard = 160pts
27pts pms
*8.5*
Mahrez = 279pts (251pts*)
30pts pms
Pulisic = 228pts
27pts pms
*7.5*
Greenwood = 243pts (194pts**)
26pts pms
*6.5*
Bowen = 148pts
23pts pms
Jota = 142pts
22pts pms
*6.0*
Trossard = 160pts
27pts pms
Midfielders continued:
*6.0*
Hourihane = 167pts (151pts)
25pts pms
*5.5*
Armstrong = 177pts (159pts*)
29pts pms
Saint-Maximin = 152pts
28pts pms
Trézéguet = 156pts (140pts*)
26pts pms
*5.0*
Soucek = 121pts
24pts pms
*6.0*
Hourihane = 167pts (151pts)
25pts pms
*5.5*
Armstrong = 177pts (159pts*)
29pts pms
Saint-Maximin = 152pts
28pts pms
Trézéguet = 156pts (140pts*)
26pts pms
*5.0*
Soucek = 121pts
24pts pms
Forwards:
*6.5*
Antonio = 193pts
30pts pms
*6.0*
Adams = 219pts (175pts*)
29pts pms
Rodriguez = 154pts (139pts*)
23pts pms
*6.5*
Antonio = 193pts
30pts pms
*6.0*
Adams = 219pts (175pts*)
29pts pms
Rodriguez = 154pts (139pts*)
23pts pms
A few honourable mentions for those who have more variables, but are ones to watch and potential when considering the model above:
*8.0*
Alli
*6.5*
Foden
*6.0*
Yarmolenko
El Ghazi
*5.5*
Djenepo
and potential when considering the model above:*8.0*
Alli
*6.5*
Foden
*6.0*
Yarmolenko
El Ghazi
*5.5*
Djenepo
